2 May 2012

DOCS TRADING CENTRE - ROUND 5


DOCS TRADING CENTRE ROUND 5

The trading centre for this week offers plenty for the traders out there. A lot of my focus is on the players others may not think of. We all know the big scorers so this guide are often for the players you may not notice but would be great for your team. The biggest question in Super Coach this year is addressed – What to do with Gary Ablett.

BACKS
Alex Rance (Price, $476,400, Average 101, Break Even +115)
He just keeps producing good consistent scores. Has a high break even so you could wait a week but he is cheap for that average.

Michael Firrito ($431,800, 96, +115)
Goes under the radar a bit but with a 96 average you could do a lot worse.

Brendan Goddard ($539,600, 103, +179)
Had a shocker on the weekend bad if you had him (or as captain as I did!!!) but good if you haven’t. With a huge break even he is sure to drop in price even further and become a massive bargain.

ROOKIE WATCH
Beau Wilkes ($106,600, 52)
Played his first game and kicked 3. Watch for job security but might be a good one for a down grade option.

RUCKS
Ivan Maric ($414,100, 93 +47)
Mullett has only had one game under 94  this year which is pretty good for a team that has only won one game. With injuries to Sandilands and Mumford go down to big Ivan and free up some cash.

MIDFIELDERS
Kade Simpson ($508,000, 108, +68)
The man who no one ever plays on is having a cracker of a season and is still at a good price. With the other stars at Carlton he doesn’t get tagged.

Daniel Cross ($511,770, 105, +105)
A perennial super coach star he is again having a solid season in a poor team. Only once this year has he been under the ton, that nice consistent stuff.

Rory Sloane ($497,400, 107, +59)
The young Crow is having a breakout year and may never be this cheap again. Consistency is the question but he has only once been under the ton. So it looks as though he may keep it up.

ROOKIE WATCH
Taylor Adams ($136,600, 80)
We were big on him in the pre season and he had a super debut and most importantly is duel positioned (fwd) he may be a good downgrade target next week especially if he keeps dishing up those scores.

Kyal Horsley ($128,700, 87)
In a James Magnerish debut he is an older recruit who was runner up in the Sandover Medal. Off the rookie list so job security is an issue but with a muture body and scores like that he will stay in the side.

FORWARDS
Tom Hawkins ($447,300, 104, +68)
Looks he’s going to be inconsistent but with that average if you are prepared to cop that he may be a good unique player.

Patrick Dangerfield ($476,700, 103, +60)
We all know about him but this is the chance to get on him before his price goes even higher. Has not had a score under 90 so has been consistent to.

Allan Christensen ($410,600, 86, +21)
Just nicely improving, his last 2 scores have been 123 and 107 so if you are after a unique improver and can’t quite afford a premium he is a ripper.

THE ABLETT QUESTION – To keep or not to keep?

This is possibly the most important question of the super coach season. What to do? Well I think there are a few factors to consider. I will present them in dot points.

·         His price. At the moment it is $721,400 which is massive. If you trade him out now you will need to find that much to get him back. In 3 or so weeks who knows what the prices of your players will be or other injuries you have.

·         Your league. Most people are trying to win their leagues against their mates. So what you could do is see who you are playing in the next few weeks and see if you can still beat them without Gary, or if they have him they have the same problem. Some people have crap teams and if you are lucky enough to play one or tow in the next few weeks you may be able to carry him.

·         Wasting trades. To get Gary in and out of your side you may have to use between 2 or 3 trades. Is it really worth doing that, we have seen how injuries can hit and come the end of the year after byes and when players get rested you will need them come finals time, a time when you will also need Gary.

·         Freeing up cash. If you trade him out you can still pick up a gun and have a bit of cash left over to use in other parts of your side. Of course this may mean you may never get him back in but it may be better for your side as a whole.

·         Adequate replacements. There are some rippers around to replace him with such as Marc Murphy, Dane Swan and Scott Pendelbury. All are stars who would be great in any side.

·         Number of trades already used. Its only early but some people have burned lots of trades and may not want to waste anymore on the other hand some may have plenty up their sleeves and might want to use one.

·         Still pissed off. There may be one doctor who still hasn’t forgiven him for leaving Geelong for $$$$$ and may be feeling let down by the bald man yet again.

These are a few of the questions I am considering when deciding what to do. It is a bloody tough question and everyone will have their own views. But removing the best player in the comp from your side is a big call but its not the end of the world if you keep him or get rid of him, or is it?

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